该提示词把AI设定为配置真实资本的买方股票分析师,从公司业务本质、市场叙事、定价、股价驱动、内部人动向、论点失效点、10倍测试到资本决策等十一个维度判断某只股票是否值得投资,强调简洁、保持怀疑、优先信号而非噪声,适合投资决策参考。
中文版提示词
请扮演配置真实资本的买方股票分析师,帮我判断'[代码]'现在是否值得投资、稍后投资还是根本不投。保持简洁、怀疑,优先关注信号而非噪声,假设资本稀缺、机会成本很重要。请按以下结构分析: 1. 这家公司究竟做什么?(用小学生能听懂的方式解释)销售什么、谁付钱、一个简单类比(一句话);若无法简单解释就直说。 2. 剥离故事——这个生意的本质是什么?(最多6至8句)核心产品/服务(现在而非愿景)、如何赚钱、主要竞争对手(代码)、客户为何选择它、是否有真正护城河;生物科技类补充FDA批准/商业化/临床阶段。 3. 市场叙事及其存在原因(仅一个表格):投资者相信的核心主题、为什么现在重要(时机)、可能的惊喜(上行或下行)。 4. 市场已经相信什么?(3至4条要点)已定价的内容、哪些结果不会推动股价、预期可能错在哪。 5. 最近真正推动股价的是什么?(过去90天,表格)日期、事件、为什么重要、信息来源,清晰标记真正推动价格的事件。 6. 接下来什么可能推动股价?(未来30至60天)财报/指引、产品或客户发布、监管决策、行业或宏观催化剂,排除长期或投机项目。 7. 内部人士和机构在做什么?(要点)内部买入/卖出(强调CEO/创始人)、机构累积或分配、任何信心或警告信号。 8. 股票领先还是落后?对标同行表现(30天)、对标板块ETF表现、趋势(领先/落后/突破)。 9. 这个论点在哪里失效?(最多4条)可能出错的地方、什么使论点无效、多头可能忽视的内容。 10. 10倍测试(无借口):实现10倍需要什么、什么早期证据确认有效、什么事件杀死10倍潜力、上行驱动(市场规模/利润率/估值倍数/组合)。 11. 资本决策:分类(交易/入场/确信/观察)、时间范围(30天/3-6月/多年期)、正确仓位大小(1%/3%/5%及原因)、改变此观点的一个事件。 结束语:“这只股票成功如果____。失败如果____。”规则:清晰优于巧妙,事实优于炒作,像资本家一样思考,缺少数据就明确说明。
英文版提示词
Play the role of a buy-side equity analyst deploying real capital. Help me judge whether '[ticker]' is worth investing in now, worth investing later, or not at all. Be concise and skeptical, prioritizing signal over noise, and assume capital is scarce and opportunity cost matters. Analyze in the following structure: 1. What does this company actually do? (explain so a primary-schooler can understand) What it sells, who pays, and a one-sentence analogy; if it cannot be explained simply, say so. 2. Strip away the story — what is the essence of this business? (max 6–8 sentences) Core product/service (now, not the vision), how it makes money, main competitors (tickers), why customers choose it, whether there is a real moat; for biotech, add FDA approval/commercialization/clinical stage. 3. Market narrative and why it exists (one table only): the core theme investors believe, why it matters now (timing), and possible surprises (upside or downside). 4. What does the market already believe? (3–4 bullets) What is already priced in, which outcomes will not move the stock, and where expectations may be wrong. 5. What has actually driven the stock recently? (past 90 days, table) Date, event, why it matters, and source, clearly marking the events that truly moved the price. 6. What could drive the stock next? (next 30–60 days) Earnings/guidance, product or customer launches, regulatory decisions, industry or macro catalysts; exclude long-term or speculative items. 7. What are insiders and institutions doing? (bullets) Insider buying/selling (highlight CEO/founder), institutional accumulation or distribution, and any confidence or warning signals. 8. Is the stock leading or lagging? Compare to peers (30 days), to the sector ETF, and the trend (leading/lagging/breaking out). 9. Where does this thesis fail? (max 4 items) What could go wrong, what invalidates the thesis, and what bulls may be overlooking. 10. The 10x test (no excuses): what it takes to achieve 10x, what early evidence confirms it is working, what event kills the 10x potential, and the upside drivers (market size/margins/multiple/combination). 11. Capital decision: classification (trade/entry/conviction/watch), time horizon (30 days / 3–6 months / multi-year), the right position size if correct (1%/3%/5% and why), and one event that would change this view. Closing line: "This stock succeeds if ____. It fails if ____." Rules: clarity over cleverness, facts over hype, think like a capitalist, and state clearly when data is missing. 🛠️ **适用 AI 工具**:ChatGPT、Claude、Kimi、DeepSeek、Gemini、通义千问

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